VIE:EURONEXT PARISVeolia Environnement SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
€34.69
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Veolia Environnement is trading at €34.69, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 35.02 and 50‑day SMA of 34.15, indicating a bullish price curve that sits well above the 200‑day SMA of 31.11. The stock’s RSI of 50.2 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative, flagging a short‑term bearish tilt despite the overall bullish trend direction. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 22.9%, yet the computed beta of 0.32 points to low systematic risk relative to the market.
Fundamentally, Veolia appears undervalued with a trailing P/E of 20.4x versus the industry average of 29.7x and a forward P/E of 13.3x. The dividend yield stands out at 4.32% with a payout ratio near 82%, supported by solid operating cash flow of €5.15 bn and free cash flow of €1.79 bn. Although the DCF fair‑value estimate of €5.36 is far below the market price, the model’s upside/downside projection of +12.1% aligns with analyst consensus of a “buy” rating and a median target of €39. Strong EBITDA growth (+5.1% YoY) and a robust cash position offset the high debt‑to‑equity ratio, reinforcing confidence in dividend sustainability and long‑term earnings outlook.
Fundamentally, Veolia appears undervalued with a trailing P/E of 20.4x versus the industry average of 29.7x and a forward P/E of 13.3x. The dividend yield stands out at 4.32% with a payout ratio near 82%, supported by solid operating cash flow of €5.15 bn and free cash flow of €1.79 bn. Although the DCF fair‑value estimate of €5.36 is far below the market price, the model’s upside/downside projection of +12.1% aligns with analyst consensus of a “buy” rating and a median target of €39. Strong EBITDA growth (+5.1% YoY) and a robust cash position offset the high debt‑to‑equity ratio, reinforcing confidence in dividend sustainability and long‑term earnings outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA crossover and price above key support
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Undervalued relative to industry P/E
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Confirmed EBITDA growth and solid operating cash flow
- Positive analyst consensus and target price upside
- Stable demand for water, waste and energy services
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term secular tailwinds in environmental infrastructure
- Consistent dividend income supporting total return
- Resilient business model despite high leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin2.74%
P/E Ratio20.4
ROE12.16%
ROA2.96%
Debt/Equity222.53
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow€5.2B
Free Cash Flow€1.8B
Industry P/E29.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI50.2
Support€33.16
Resistance€36.61
MA 20€35.02
MA 50€34.15
MA 200€31.11
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value€5.36
Target Price€38.89
Upside/Downside12.12%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.32%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility22.87%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.