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VIE:EURONEXT PARISVeolia Environnement SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

€34.69

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Veolia Environnement is trading at €34.69, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 35.02 and 50‑day SMA of 34.15, indicating a bullish price curve that sits well above the 200‑day SMA of 31.11. The stock’s RSI of 50.2 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative, flagging a short‑term bearish tilt despite the overall bullish trend direction. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 22.9%, yet the computed beta of 0.32 points to low systematic risk relative to the market.
Fundamentally, Veolia appears undervalued with a trailing P/E of 20.4x versus the industry average of 29.7x and a forward P/E of 13.3x. The dividend yield stands out at 4.32% with a payout ratio near 82%, supported by solid operating cash flow of €5.15 bn and free cash flow of €1.79 bn. Although the DCF fair‑value estimate of €5.36 is far below the market price, the model’s upside/downside projection of +12.1% aligns with analyst consensus of a “buy” rating and a median target of €39. Strong EBITDA growth (+5.1% YoY) and a robust cash position offset the high debt‑to‑equity ratio, reinforcing confidence in dividend sustainability and long‑term earnings outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA crossover and price above key support
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Undervalued relative to industry P/E

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Confirmed EBITDA growth and solid operating cash flow
  • Positive analyst consensus and target price upside
  • Stable demand for water, waste and energy services

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term secular tailwinds in environmental infrastructure
  • Consistent dividend income supporting total return
  • Resilient business model despite high leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin2.74%
P/E Ratio20.4
ROE12.16%
ROA2.96%
Debt/Equity222.53
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow€5.2B
Free Cash Flow€1.8B
Industry P/E29.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.2
Support€33.16
Resistance€36.61
MA 20€35.02
MA 50€34.15
MA 200€31.11
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value€5.36
Target Price€38.89
Upside/Downside12.12%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.32%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility22.87%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.